2015 Robert B. Lewis Stakes Preview

2015 Robert B. Lewis Stakes Preview

Saturday features two Kentucky Derby Prep races with both the grade 3 Withers Stakes and the grade 3 Robert B. Lewis on the slate. The Robert B. Lewis Stakes features only 6 horses but two of them are coming back after a thrilling finishing in the grade 1 Los Alamitos Futurity.

This grade 3 event will be at one mile and one sixteenth on the dirt with a purse of $150,000. The winner of this race will get 10 points, the second place finisher will receive 4 points, 2 points for the third place finisher, and a point for the fourth place finisher. Post time is scheduled for 5:36 PM Eastern time.

Below is a look at each of the six horse’s in the 2015 Robert B. Lewis Stakes. Free past performances can be found here.

1. Tizcano (15-1 Morning Line) – The son of Tiznow broke his maiden in June of 2014 with a six and a half length score going 4.5 furlongs at Gulfstream Park. After being sent to the West Coast he took part in back-to-back stakes races where finished third and seventh. He won his second start at Del Mar in November before a trip back East resulted in a fifth place finish. He will need to improve quite a bit to have a chance.

2. Rock Shandy (6-1 ML) – He ran a solid race in the grade 3 Sham Stakes on January 10. He finished second by 4 1/4 lengths behind Calculator that day in what was his first start on dirt. He does not appear to be as talented as the two outside horses, but he has s mall shot of winning this race. Use him underneath here.

3. Sebastian’s Heart (30-1 ML) – The longest shot on the board has a long way to go before he will challenge in a race like this. He broke his maiden in a $75,000 claimer in his second race before trying stakes company. He finished second in the Speak Easy before a fourth place finish in the grade 3 Bob Hope. His first start on turf was a disastrous last place finish (8th) in the grade 3 Cecil B Demille Stakes. Pass on him in this spot.

4. Hero Ten All (10-1 ML) – This guy also ran in the grade 3 Sham Stakes where he had a poor showing. He finished sixth beaten 10 lengths and figures to be coming from behind just as he has in his first three races. He does not figure to get that kind of set up. Pass here even with him getting blinkers on.

5. Firing Line (7-5 ML) – The second choice on the morning line comes out of a thrilling race with the horse to his outside. He was second by half a length in his debut and then won his next race by 4 1/4 lengths. His first start at a route saw him prompt the pace before losing an exciting race by a head to Dortmund. He figures to go to the lead and wire the field. He has a huge chance to win this race.

6. Dortmund (4-5 ML) – The son of Big Brown won the aforementioned grade 1 Los Alamitos Futurity while also winning the previous two races. In that race he came off a hot pace to just win by a head bob, but he does not figure to get that same hot pace again. He has been working quite well in the morning and like the guy to his inside he figures to have a big chance.

 

Selections

This race comes down to the two outside horses. Firing Line figures to be alone on the lead while Dortmund will be close in tow. It is hard to imagine one of these two not winning. Rock Shandy looks to be the best of the rest.

1. Firing Line

2. Dortmund

3. Rock Shandy

4. Hero Ten All

2015 Withers Stakes Preview

2015 Withers Stakes Preview

After a break last weekend from the 2015 Kentucky Derby Preps, we come back this weekend with two stakes races for 3 year olds. The Withers Stakes will be here at Aqueduct while the other prep race will be the Robert B. Lewis at Santa Anita Park.

The Withers Stakes will be a field of 7 horses going 1 1/16 miles on the inner dirt track with up to 10 points on the line towards the Kentucky Derby Leaderboard. This is a grade 3 event with a purse of $250,000 and a scheduled post time of 4:13 PM Eastern Time.

Below is a closer look at each of the seven entrants in the 2015 Withers Stakes. Free past performances can be found here.

1. Classy Class (2-1 Morning Line) – The second choice on the morning line is unraced since the grade 2 Remsen Stakes on November 29. That was his second career start after a 4 length victory in his debut. In the Remsen, he was battling for the lead before faltering to finish fourth by 9 1/4 lengths. He has solid works for this return while trainer Kiaran McLaughlin is 23% of a layoff of 45 to 90 days. He rates a solid chance in this spot.

2. Far From Over (5-1 ML) – He has raced once and it was here at Aqueduct over the inner track on December 12. He won that day by a nose going a mile and 70 yards and finishing third in that race was Tencendur. His works are decent, but the feeling here is that he is a step below the top horses in this race.

3. March (6-1 ML) – He has two career races with a second and and first in those two races. His first race was going six and a half furlongs before stretching out to a mile and 70 yards in his second race. He won the latter by a neck over next time out winner Dontbetwithbruno. He is an interesting possibility if a speed duel occurs and he rates right off the leaders.

4. Tencendur (12-1 ML) – He has been mentioned before with his third place finish in his debut where he was behind Far From Over. He returned in his second race to face New York breds where he won by three quarters of a length against nine foes. His ceiling appears to be an underneath finish.

5. Unrivaled (20-1 ML) – The longest shot on the morning line took 5 starts to break his maiden, which he did last out with a 15 length romp at Parx. That win came against open company in the Maiden Special ranks, but that race was on December 23. He will need to take a big step forward, as well as get a hot pace in front of him. Pass on his chances here.

6. General Bellamy (15-1 ML) – He broke his maiden on his third attempt with a three and a half length win at a mile on the main track. His last race was in the grade 3 Jerome Stakes where he had a poor break and ran an even race. He was able to grab third place behind El Kabeir who also returns for this race. He will need a speed duel to have a prayer to win, but he could hit the board again.

7. El Kabeir (8-5 ML) – The aforementioned winner of the grade 3 Jerome Stakes is faced with another outside slot. He won the Jerome with ease last time out by 4 3/4 lengths and won the grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club before that. His Jerome win provided a new dimension where he came from off the pace. That new dimension makes him ultra tough in this spot. He is the pick, albeit a chalky one, to win this race.

 

Selections

1. El Kabeir

2. Classy Class

3. General Bellamy

4. Tencendur

 

Check back on Saturday evening for a recap of the 2015 Withers Stakes and an updated Kentucky Derby Leaderboard.