2013 Breeders Cup Filly & Mare Sprint – 7 Furlongs Dirt (Race 6, Post Time: 1:21 Pacific Time)
1. Renee’s Titan (30-1) – It is very surprising to see her in this spot. She is making her 2nd start off a 5 month layoff and her last start was down the hill on the Santa Anita turf course in an Optional Claiming race. She looks completely overmatched in this spot and I cannot endorse under any circumstances.
2. Book Review (6-1) – This filly ran a very nice 2nd in her last outing in the Grade 1 Ballerina at Saratoga. She ran behind Dance To Bristol who is also in this race. She hasn’t raced since August 23, but she has done well off the layoff in the past. Expect her to be rolling late and try to nab them at the wire. Strong chance.
3. Starship Truffles (15-1) – She was an upset winner of the Grade 1 Princess Rooney Handicap at Calder back in early July. In her 2 starts since that race she has not run very well, with a 6th place finish in the Grade 1 Ballerina and then a 3rd place finish in an overnight stake at Gulfstream. I’ll pass on her in this spot.
4. Dance Card (8-1) – Her last race was her 1st start in 10 months and she ran an good 3rd in the Grade 2 Gallant Bloom behind Cluster of Stars and Dance To Bristol, the latter is in this race. She should be much fitter in this race, but I think she likes route races better than sprints. I will side against her chances in this race.
5. Teddy’s Promise (6-1) – She took part in last year’s running of this race finishing a well beaten 8th of 10. She follows a similar path as last year where she will be making her 2nd start off a nearly 3 month layoff. She won her last race with ease in an Overnight Stake here at Santa Anita. I’m not sold on her sticking around at the end of this race.
6. Ismene (20-1) – This filly has never raced in graded stakes competition, but she has done very well in Cal-Bred races and an overnight stakes race. She will probably be on the lead along with the horse to her inside. This is a huge step up in class and I am going to pass on her winning this race.
7. Summer Applause (12-1) – She has been running in Graded Stakes races going a route of ground, but is now shortening up to 7 furlongs. She will be off the pace in this race and that might not be a bad thing if the track is playing fair and if the pace is robust. I don’t like her chances to win this race, but I can see her finishing in one of the underneath spots for the exotics.
8. Dance To Bristol (5-1) – This ultra-consistent filly is one of the favorites to win this race. She won 7 races in a row before her last race in the Grade 2 Gallant Bloom where she was 2nd by 5 lengths. She has the perfect running style to win races like this and 5 for 5 in the exacta at this distance of 7 furlongs. She is my pick to win this race.
9. Judy The Beauty (6-1) – She has been a very nice filly so far in her career. She has won in the U.S., France, and Canada and won on both turf and synthetic racing surfaces. She is winless from 5 starts on dirt, but she has finished 2nd all five times. She should be coming off the pace and has been working lights out for this race. I think she is a legitimate contender, but I am concerned she will not have the same late kick on a conventional dirt track that she does on synthetic.
10. Great Hot (BRZ) (20-1) – She ran 2nd behind fellow rival Teddy’s Promise in her last race and previously finished 8th when racing against males in the Grade 2 Pat O’Brien Stakes at Del Mar. Given her recent races, she is not on the same level as these horses. I will pass on her.
11. Groupie Doll (5-2) – She won the 2012 version of this race and did so in style by 4 1/2 lengths. She has only run 3 times this year with 1 win and 2 third place finishes. She has not been the same horse this year as she was in 2012, but she has been heavily supported at the windows (Odd on favorite in all 3 races). I am concerned about her form this year and she will be one of the favorites, if not the outright favorite. I will try and beat her in the win angle, but she is a must use underneath.
12. Sweet Lulu (8-1) – She is the most inexperienced horse in the field with only 5 career starts. She has won 4 of those races and finished 2nd in the other. 2 starts ago she won the 7 Furlong, Grade 1 Test Stakes at Saratoga and then finished 2nd in the 8.5 furlong, Grade 1 Cotillion at Parx. She has drawn the furthest post and she will be forwardly placed which hurts her. I think she is very talented, but I will take a stand against her to win.
I really like #8 Dance To Bristol here and I will bet her in this race to Win-Place-Show here. I will single her in several multi-race tickets, but I will use the 2-9-11 on some saver tickets.