2013 Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf – 1 Mile Turf (Race 9, Post Time: 3:50 Pacific Time)
1. Nesso (20-1) – She has 3 career starts and has improved drastically every time. Her last 2 starts on turf have been solid and she should be in the perfect spot throughout this race. I don’t like her chances to win, but I think she could add value to the exotics.
2. Al Thakhira (GB) (6-1) – She has ran twice over in Europe and has ran 2 really good races. The last race in the Group 2 at Newmarket was smashing over a good-to-soft ground and a 3 1/2 length win. She is a top contender in this race.
3. Colonel Joan (20-1) – She is still winless in her career, but she has run well in defeat including a 3rd place effort in the Surfer Girl Stakes here at Santa Anita. Given the depth of this field, I think she has an outside chance of even getting a slice of the purse money.
4. Kitten Kaboodle (12-1) – She won her first race last time out, in the Grade 3 Jessamine at Keeneland. I think she is a bit light on speed figures from a win standpoint, but if she can work out a good trip, she has a chance in the trifecta and superfecta spot.
5. Granny Mc’s Kitten (20-1) – She broke her maiden the P.G. Johnson stakes at Saratoga in her 2nd career start, but followed up with a ho-hum effort last out in the Grade 3 Ms. Grillo. She did run wide that day, but I think she is a cut below most of these. Pass on her chances from the top 2 or 3 spots.
6. Vorda (FR) (4-1) – She has ran 5 career races and won 4 of those, with the other race being a 2nd place finish. She has already won a Group 1 and a Group 2 race and finished 2nd in another Group 1. She has not raced past 6 furlongs, but if she handles the stretch out, they could all be running for 2nd place.
7. Street Sailing (15-1) – Her last race was a winning effort when she was going 2 turns and stepping onto the grass for the first, but that was in a Non-Winners of 2 Lifetime event. The waters get a lot deeper here, but if she can get an easy lead and set soft fractions, she might be able to hold for a piece.
8. Chriselliam (IRE) (6-1) – She won the Group 1 Shadwell Fillies Mile in her last race at Newmarket and did so at 28-1 odds. The ground was good-to-firm which should suit her on Friday. She certainly loves the mile distance as she has a win and a second place finish. Expect her to make a late rally and hope to run by them all in the stretch. I like her chances if she gets clear sailing.
9. Dancing House (20-1) – She started her career with 2 good dirt races and then moved over to the turf course last race. She finished a decent 3rd in the Grade 3 Ms. Grillo, but I think she is overmatched in here. Pass on her chances.
10. Clenor (IRE) (8-1) – Since arriving in the U.S. this filly has done nothing wrong. She is 3 for 3 in the U.S. and has improved in every start. The latest workouts show she is ready for another big effort. Will that effort be enough to top the Euros? Maybe, but I will use her underneath in the exotics.
11. Ready To Act (8-1) – She is truly the question mark of this field. In her last race, she appeared as if she was going to win when about a furlong out she dumped her rider. We don’t know how good she is and this is a tough field to answer that question. I also think she will have some company on the lead from Street Sailing. I will pass on her win chances here, but I will use her underneath.
12. Testa Rossi (FR) (8-1) – She is 4 for 6 in her career and her last race was mighty impressive in the Ms. Grillo at Belmont. She sat at the rear of the field into the stretch where she blew past the field and then held on to beat Sky Painter by a nose. Another horse that I believe is a must use on the win end.
13. Sky Painter (15-1) – As mentioned in the write up above, she just missed last out by a nose. That was an impressive effort as she was making her first start going a route of ground. She should be mid-pack and could definitely grab a piece late.
14. My Conquestadory (9-2) – One of the favorites when the pre-entries were taken, she has been done in by the widest draw. She beat males in her debut in the Grade 2 Summer Stakes at Woodbine, then won the Grade 1 Alcibiades in her next start. She is a very tactical horse which is why I will not discount her, even from the wide post.
Bets
This is a very deep field and there are many ways to go. In multi-race wagers I will use 2-6-8-10-12-13-14 and keying in on the 6-8-12 combinations. I will use the 6-8-12 on top in exactas and trifectas as well.
